Wednesday 06/10/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Wednesday 06/10/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...
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from khaliagent's website for Bonus Plays. think they did ok yesterday 2-1. i posted the paid pick in the other thread.

FREE Regular Plays
Boston Redsox/NY Yankees over 11 -105
Seattle Mariners ML +106
Miluwakee Brewers ML
 
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Write-up


Wednesday, June 10

Hot Pitchers
-- Wainwright has 2.45 RA in his last five starts.
-- Mets won last four Pelfrey home starts (2-0, 2.67). Phillies won last three Hamels starts (2-0, 3.43).
-- Jurrjens has 3.15 RA in his last three home starts.
-- Cubs are 4-1 on the road when Zambrano starts (3-1, 2.97).
-- Davis is 1-0, 1.38 in his last two starts.
-- Kershaw is 1-1, 1.23 in his five home starts.

-- Hernandez is 1-0, 2.49 in his last three starts.
-- Meche has 2.07 RA in his last two starts. Indians won last four Pavano starts (3-0, 2.15).
-- Rays won five of last six Niemann starts (3-1, 2.62).
-- Red Sox won eight of last ten Wakefield starts.
-- Millwood is 1-0, 2.89 in his last three starts.
-- Verlander is 6-0, 1.12 in his last eight starts.
-- Oakland won last three Braden starts (2-0, 2.70).

Cold Pitchers
-- Harang is 0-3, 7.58 in his last three road starts. Martis is 0-1, 7.71 in his last four starts.
-- Volstad is 2-5, 4.74 in his last seven starts.
-- Karstens has 5.63 RA in his last four starts; he was also losing hurler in 15-inning game in this park Monday night.
-- Rodriguez is 0-3, 11.85 in his last three starts.
-- de la Rosa is 1-3, 10.12 in his last four starts. Bush is 0-2, 7.02 in his last three starts.
-- Zito is 1-4, 5.51 in his last five starts.
-- LeBlanc was 1-1, 2.49 in his last five AAA starts.

-- Guthrie is 1-3, 6.53 in his last four starts.
-- Lackey is 0-1, 4.22 in his last three starts.
-- Wang is 0-3, 23.62 in four starts this season.
-- Romero is 1-2, 7.16 in his last three starts.
-- Danks has an 8.06 RA in his last five starts.
-- Liriano is 0-3, 8.50 in his last four starts.

Hot Teams
-- Braves won seven of their last ten home games.
-- Marlins won seven of their last ten home games.
-- Phillies won eight of their last eleven games. Mets won 12 of their last 15 home games.
-- Cubs won four of their last five games. Astros won six of their last nine games.
-- Rockies won their last six games, scoring 46 runs. Brewers won ten of their last fourteen home games.
-- Giants are 10-4 in their last fourteen games.
-- Dodgers are 10-5 in their last fifteen games.

-- Angels are 9-5 in their last fourteen road games.
-- Indians won three of their last four games.
-- Red Sox won six of their last eight games. Bronx ix 8-4 in last 12.
-- Blue Jays won four of their last five games.
-- Tigers won four of their last five games.
-- A's won seven of their last eight games.

Cold Teams
-- Nationals lost 11 of their last 13 games. Reds lost eight of their last eleven road games.
-- Cardinals lost their last five games, allowing 36 runs.
-- Pirates lost four of their last five games.
-- Arizona is 5-11 in its last sixteen home games.
-- Padres lost eight of their last eleven games.

-- Rays lost their last three games: 4-3/5-3/4-3.
-- Rangers lost their last three home games.
-- Orioles lost five of their last six games, scoring total of eleven runs. Mariners lost 14 of their last 19 road games.
-- Royals lost ten of their last eleven games.
-- White Sox lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Minnesota lost 13 of its last 17 road games.

Totals
-- Seven of last nine Cincinnati games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-0-2 in last six Florida home games.
-- Four of last six Met games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Pittsburgh road games went over the total.
-- Ten of last thirteen Cub road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 8-3 in Milwaukee's last eleven home games.
-- Under is 11-4-1 in Giants' last sixteen road games.
-- Four of last six Dodger games stayed under the total.

-- Last seven games at Tropicana Field stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight games at Camden Yards stayed under the total.
-- Four of last six Cleveland home games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last eleven games at Fenway Park stayed under the total.
-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Texas home games.
-- Seven of of last ten Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Eleven of last fourteen Minnesota games stayed under the total.

Umpires
-- Cin-Wsh-- Favorite won six of last seven Hernandez games.
-- StL-Fla-- Three of last four Holbrook games went over the total.
-- Phil-NY-- Underdog is 7-4 in Marsh games this season.
-- Pitt-Atl-- Three of last four Eddings games stayed under the total.
-- Chi-Hst-- Over is 5-3 when Schrieber works an NL game.
-- Col-Mil-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Cuzzi games.
-- SF-Az-- Last four Tichenor games stayed under the total.
-- SD-LA-- Six of last seven Reynolds games went over the total.

-- Sea-Balt-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Wolf games.
-- LA-TB-- Four of last five Drake games went over the total.
-- KC-Clev-- Favorite won seven of last eight Diaz ggmes.
-- NY-Bos-- Last four Davis games stayed under total; four of his last five games were won by the underdog.
-- Tor-Tex-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Hohn games.
-- Det-Chi-- Last four Runge games stayed under the total.
-- Min-A's-- Six of last nine Fairchild games stayed under the total.
 
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MLB


Wednesday, June 10

Trend Report

7:05 PM
CINCINNATI vs. WASHINGTON
Cincinnati is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Cincinnati is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Washington is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games

7:05 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. CLEVELAND
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Kansas City is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home

7:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. BALTIMORE
Seattle is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Baltimore
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Seattle
Baltimore is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

7:08 PM
LA ANGELS vs. TAMPA BAY
LA Angels are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games on the road
LA Angels are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against LA Angels
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Angels

7:10 PM
NY YANKEES vs. BOSTON
NY Yankees are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Boston
NY Yankees are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
Boston is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games at home

7:10 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. NY METS
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets are 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
NY Mets are 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

7:10 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. ATLANTA
Pittsburgh is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh

7:10 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. FLORIDA
St. Louis is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Florida
St. Louis is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games when playing Florida
Florida is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Florida is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home

8:00 PM
CHI CUBS vs. HOUSTON
Chi Cubs are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
Chi Cubs are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road
Houston is 1-8 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Houston is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs

8:05 PM
COLORADO vs. MILWAUKEE
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Colorado
Milwaukee is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Colorado

8:05 PM
TORONTO vs. TEXAS
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
Toronto is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home
Texas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

8:11 PM
DETROIT vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Detroit is 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing Chi White Sox
Detroit is 3-9 SU in their last 12 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 2-7 SU in their last 9 games
Chi White Sox are 2-7 SU in their last 9 games at home

9:40 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. ARIZONA
San Francisco is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Arizona
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
Arizona is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

10:05 PM
MINNESOTA vs. OAKLAND
Minnesota is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Oakland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

10:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. LA DODGERS
San Diego is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
San Diego is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
LA Dodgers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing San Diego
LA Dodgers are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games at home
 
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Lady Luck: Wednesday's WNBA best bets


Washington Mystics at Detroit Shock (-5.5, 145)

The Detroit Shock will have to wait a little while longer to start playing with their full roster. If they perform like they did in their home opener, though, the defending WNBA champions should be just fine.

Detroit looks for another dominating performance at The Palace on Wednesday night when it goes for its seventh straight victory over the Washington Mystics.

After flashing their championship rings and watching the banner raised to the rafters above their home floor Monday night, the Shock (1-1) put on a fitting performance, pounding Los Angeles 81-52. Detroit bounced back from a 78-58 defeat to the Sparks on Saturday that was the franchise's worst-ever season-opening loss.

"I think we all got a lot of energy from the ring ceremony," guard Deanna Nolan said. "We were angry after the way we played out there, and we fixed a lot of those things tonight."

Nolan scored a team-high 27 points for the Shock, who were without Cheryl Ford, Kara Braxton and Plenette Pierson.

Braxton is serving a six-game suspension for pleading guilty to a drunken driving charge, Ford is recovering from offseason ACL surgery and Pierson's right shoulder was injured in the season opener.

"We'd gone through the exhibition games with Plenette and Kara, and then we suddenly had a different roster," veteran forward Katie Smith said after scoring 17 points Monday.

Washington, off to the first 2-0 start in franchise history, tries for its first win at The Palace since a 69-55 victory June 24, 2005.

The Mystics defeated Atlanta 77-71 on Sunday behind Alana Beard's 27 points. Washington also received solid play from reserves Matee Ajavon, Tasha Humphrey and Marissa Coleman, who each hit a pair of 3s to help the Mystics outscore the Dream 30-8 in the second quarter.

Pick: Under


New York Liberty at Phoenix Mercury (-6.5, 168)

The Mercury, who led the league in scoring the past three seasons, had just 10 first-quarter points Saturday but made 53.3 percent from the field in the final three quarters.

"We started off shooting the ball bad - pitiful," Phoenix coach Corey Gaines said of his team's 20 percent first-quarter shooting. "But I knew that wouldn't last."

Cappie Pondexter, who finished second in the league in scoring to Taurasi last season, had 23 points, while rookie DeWanna Bonner added 16 and 11 rebounds off the bench.

New York (0-1) is coming off Sunday's 66-57 loss to Connecticut at Madison Square Garden. The Liberty fell to 3-10 in season openers as they shot 16.7 percent (4 of 24) from 3-point range, including 0 for 9 in the third quarter.

"We were 3-point shot happy," New York coach Pat Coyle said. "We have to do something differently."

Coyle also was annoyed by her team getting outrebounded 47-33 by the Sun.

Pick: Phoenix
 
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Big Al McMordie

MLB | Jun 10

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox:

New York Yankees +120

At 7:10 pm, our complimentary selection is on the New York Yankees over the Boston Red Sox. Last night, the boys from Beantown shut out the Bronx Bombers 7-0 behind Josh Beckett, and will turn to veteran knuckleballer Timmy Wakefield on Wednesday. His mound opponent will be Chien-Ming Wang, who has been dreadful all season. Wang's ERA is 14.46 over his seven starts, so the knee-jerk reaction might be to play on Wakefield here, especially given that Boston is 6-0 over the Yankees this year. But Wakefield's ERA is pretty bad, too, over his last three starts: 7.27, with a 1.85 WHIP. And he's NEVER had success vs. the Yankees in his career, going 10-15 with a 4.80 ERA. Take the Yankees as a live underdog tonight. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
 

Say Hello To My Little Friend, Steve Puppet!
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Stu Feiner is claiming a win with his Lakers pick last night. Didn't he have the Lakers at +4 in his write-up?
 

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Stu Feiner is claiming a win with his Lakers pick last night. Didn't he have the Lakers at +4 in his write-up?

The line closed at +4.5 ... so it is a win.

I know the line opened at +4 but has changed very fast to +4.5 and I think the majority got +4.5. My opinion.
 

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Ness

anyone

thanks

There are two games with favorites between - 140 and - 200.

Philly and Texas are both - 155. I figure it's one of those two.

Think Texas is his comp, so probably Philadelphia.

He doesn't handicap much anymore.

It seems he just looks at - 130 to - 170 favs and releases.

If it isn't Philly, it surely is one of the 2 games in the mid to upper -130's.

That would either be Cleveland or Detroit.

The man has become VERY predicable, at least in baseball.

We'll see.
 

Say Hello To My Little Friend, Steve Puppet!
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The line closed at +4.5 ... so it is a win.

I know the line opened at +4 but has changed very fast to +4.5 and I think the majority got +4.5. My opinion.

It opened at 3.5 at some places.
 

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4 or 4 1/2

Stu Feiner is claiming a win with his Lakers pick last night. Didn't he have the Lakers at +4 in his write-up?


The touts always get the best line...after the game.

I noticed most touts with LA say they got 4 1/2 and the win.

The touts with Orlando didn't get that 4 1/2 line, they got 4...of course.

Ness had Orlando and claimed the push. He always gets the best #.

Therefore, VERY few touts lost last nights game.

They either pushed or won, where the public probably went 50/50.

I had -4 1/2 with Orlando and lost because they couldn't get the last rebound on four different occasions in the last half minute.

After the game, I asked my man if I could switch back to - 4.
I told him the touts can and they are supposed to be the "experts".
He said NO. I lost.
 

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